The unique supply timeline of the submarines was from 2022 to 2028. Nonetheless, the challenge bumped into delays because of varied points. The primary of those was the fallout of the pandemic in 2020. The second, extra important setback, was Germany’s refusal to switch diesel engines for the submarines.
Nonetheless, the PN opted to stay with this system and waited for China to certify its home CHD-620 diesel engine, which might be utilized in lieu of the German MTU powerplant.
KSEW began developing its 4 boats by chopping the metal of the fifth submarine in December 2021, with manufacturing of the sixth boat starting in December 2022.
In April 2024, the Wuchang Shipbuilding Trade Group Firm Ltd. launched the lead boat for sea trials. The CNS’ statements would counsel that the lead boat is nearing the completion of its take a look at and, within the coming months, will be a part of the PN fleet.
The Hangor-class submarine is a big program for the PN–however not for the explanations many appear to be specializing in. At the moment, the dialogue across the PN’s forthcoming submarines focuses round how the PN may use the boats for the nuclear deterrence function.
Sure, the submarines will probably help Pakistan’s deterrence targets, and play a job in constructing a second strike functionality by carrying Babur 3 submarine-launched cruise missiles (SLCM). Nonetheless, the nuclear function isn’t in the primary mission set of the Hangor-class.
Reasonably, the Hangor-class submarines are supposed to assist the PN prolong its attain and elevate its capability for naval operations, be it to safe Pakistan’s maritime pursuits, or deter the Indian Navy (IN). In different phrases, the sub-surface fleet’s most important duties are to help anti-ship warfare and anti-submarine warfare.
All eight submarines will likely be configured with a Stirling air-independent propulsion (AIP) system. The usage of AIP will enable the boats to function underwater for prolonged durations of time (as much as a number of weeks). As well as, AIP additionally helps decrease acoustic publicity by decreasing the necessity to ceaselessly snorkel or surfacing for atmospheric oxygen for recharging batteries.
In sensible phrases, AIP-equipped submarines can function underwater and keep undetected for comparatively lengthy durations of time. This functionality makes these submarines perfect for deterring enemy naval warships from approaching particular areas of curiosity, similar to one’s sea lanes or ports.
These deterrence qualities would probably drive the PN to make use of the Hangor-class submarines as a part of its anti-access and area-denial (A2/AD) technique. An A2/AD technique is an organized method to stopping enemy entry and management of a chosen space. Within the PN’s context, it may contain denying naval foes the house to enter and management elements of Pakistan’s unique financial zone (EEZ), or nationwide waters. It would even contain denying India the flexibility to regulate Pakistan’s sea lanes throughout a battle.
Whereas the above could sound like an enormous leap for the PN, then that’s precisely the explanation why the PN’s fleet of AIP-equipped submarines will develop from 3 boats to over 11 by the mid-2030s. That’s practically a 400% or 4X enhance in fleet dimension, and, remarkably, would solely quantity to the baseline of the PN’s targets. The Royal Thai Navy (RTN) S26T may additionally be of curiosity to the PN, giving it a fast technique to notch its fleet to 12 AIP-equipped submarines in a comparatively brief time period.
In tandem with the Hangor-class submarine, the PN can be searching for a shallow water assault submarine (SWATS). Sources instructed Quwa that the PN SWATS would additionally leverage an AIP system. Turkiye’s STM Defence and Italy’s Fincantieri are each competing for the PN’s SWATS program.
In addition to taking up particular operations roles from the PN’s getting older MG-110s, the SWATS itself may be an A2/AD asset. Being a smaller boat, it may function in Pakistan’s shallower waters, leveraging the busier waters to masks its acoustic signature and, in flip, supply a further defensive layer, notably towards enemy amphibious exercise. The presence of SWATS boats nearer to Pakistan’s shores may also free the PN to ship its Hangor-class submarines farther out into sea.
The Hangor-class submarine merely marks the beginning of the enlargement course of, which can later shift to a SWATS design and, in keeping with the “submarine-building navy” ambition, an authentic submarine challenge to switch the Agosta-line and additional develop the PN subsurface fleet.
Relative to the scale of Pakistan’s coastlines, the PN will quickly possess a comparatively highly effective submarine fleet, probably the biggest focus of AIP-equipped submarines within the Arabian Sea. Nonetheless, the true, and recurring, query will the fiscal exchequer be capable to maintain it?