2025 can be a particular time for relations between New Zealand and Singapore. In August, Singapore will commemorate its sixtieth 12 months of nation-building and mark 60 years of diplomatic relations with New Zealand. The historical past between each small states underscores the importance of protection relations for survival in a unstable world.
New Zealand was not solely one of many first international locations to acknowledge Singapore’s independence in 1965, however it additionally contributed to the defense-building of Singapore in the course of the city-state’s adolescence. New Zealand troops maintained a presence at Dieppe Barracks in Singapore till 1989, after British and Australian troops left within the Seventies. Given New Zealand’s help in the course of the Chilly Warfare, the primary prime minister of Singapore, Lee Kuan Yew, stated in Wellington in 1975 that New Zealand troops maintained “a psychological sense of stability and safety” in Singapore. New Zealand continues to be a member of the 5 Energy Protection Preparations, which started in 1971 as a consultative mechanism to help the protection of Malaysia and Singapore in opposition to an exterior armed assault.
Quick-forward to the current day. New Zealand Prime Minister Christopher Luxon visited Singapore in April 2024 and met its then-Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong. In a information launch, Luxon stated that “Singapore is New Zealand’s closest safety and financial accomplice in Southeast Asia. We’re aligned as small, superior economies and we’re pure companions in addressing widespread challenges.” In the course of the go to, each international locations expanded their Enhanced Partnership to incorporate a sixth pillar on “Provide Chain and Connectivity,” given mutual issues over the disruption of important provides as a consequence of crises and the impression on nationwide safety. In addition they agreed to additional elevate their international locations’ Enhanced Partnership in 2025.
Sensible cooperation undergirds the protection and safety pillar of the Enhanced Partnership. For instance, Singapore will resume the live-firing artillery train “Thunder Warrior” in 2025. The train, hosted in New Zealand, was paused in the course of the COVID-19 pandemic. The New Zealand Protection Power will proceed contributing an analyst to the Counter Terrorism Info Facility, hosted in Singapore to help multilateral safety efforts in Southeast Asia. There’s additionally a New Zealand army liaison officer on the Info Fusion Middle, hosted in Singapore, which serves as a regional maritime safety heart.
Protection relations between New Zealand and Singapore clearly profit their nationwide safety pursuits. As each international locations domesticate their relations, their cooperation might lengthen to exchanges in cross-cutting safety points
Cyber and disinformation threats will develop as each international locations pursue progress alternatives within the digital financial system. On the identical time, criminality and geopolitical contestation pervade our on-line world. The New Zealand Nationwide Cyber Coverage Workplace and the Singapore Cyber Safety Company have signed a cybersecurity cooperation association within the civilian sector.
Cyber-physical threats to undersea cables and pipelines are additionally a serious concern, notably for island nations, within the period of digitalization and hybrid warfare and as a result of progress of the darkish fleet. The resilience of undersea infrastructure is important to the communications and energy methods that maintain the economies and societies of New Zealand and Singapore.
The 2 international locations might additionally work collectively to defend in opposition to threats to provide chains – for instance, if armed battle had been to interrupt out within the South China Sea and disrupt international commerce. The air freight partnership between New Zealand and Singapore to move meals and medical provides labored nicely in the course of the COVID-19 pandemic. This mannequin might be tailored and supported by army belongings in periods of regional tensions.
Lastly, within the present strategic atmosphere, geopolitical developments that have an effect on the nationwide safety of nations in Southeast Asia and the South Pacific are intertwined. New Zealand and Singapore might share info to really feel the heart beat of the safety scenario of their respective neighborhoods, rising cooperation on inter-regional safety points.
Moreover, there’s convergence between their nationwide safety and regional safety pursuits. New Zealand and Singapore face shared safety challenges and each have an curiosity in making certain the relevance of ASEAN-led mechanisms in selling peace and stability. Each international locations reiterated their dedication to safety multilateralism – the 5 Energy Protection Preparations and ASEAN Protection Ministers’ Assembly Plus (ADMM-Plus) – when their senior officers met in November 2024 for the 14th Singapore-New Zealand Strategic Dialogue.
For the reason that present New Zealand authorities assumed workplace in November 2023, it has stepped up engagements with ASEAN international locations, together with Singapore, as a part of its international coverage reset. In a international coverage speech to the Lowy Institute, Luxon stated that New Zealand is dedicated to “constructing holistic and strategic partnerships with them, by being extra current, and by being extra attentive to their wants.” There are plans to improve New Zealand-ASEAN relations to a Complete Strategic Partnership. This growth might sign a newfound realization that the steadiness of Southeast Asia is essential to New Zealand’s international commerce and a safeguard in opposition to armed battle from reaching the nation.
As New Zealand and Singapore have assumed co-chairmanship of the ADMM-Plus Consultants’ Working Group on Humanitarian Help and Catastrophe Aid (HADR) from 2024 to 2027, there’s potential to boost ASEAN-led mechanisms. For instance, the Convention in Catastrophe Aid within the Context of Local weather Change, deliberate for 2025 is a chance for each international locations to facilitate the build-up of regional international locations’ information and response capability, thereby sustaining ASEAN’s relevance. And just like how Singapore served alongside the New Zealand battalion within the United Nations peacekeeping mission in East Timor in 2001, each international locations might collaborate in serving to Timor-Leste construct the institutional capability to contribute to ADMM-Plus processes as it really works to realize full membership in ASEAN.
There can be challenges as ASEAN struggles to keep up its centrality and relevance within the regional safety structure and because the New Zealand Protection Power faces workforce cuts and budgetary constraints. Nonetheless, each international locations ought to muster the political will to navigate these challenges.
New Zealand and Singapore are small states in a unstable world by geopolitical tensions, poisonous nationalism, and double requirements within the adherence to worldwide legislation. Their survival is determined by them taking part in an important position in sustaining multilateralism at the same time as they cooperate bilaterally in protection and nationwide safety. The collective weight of bilateral cooperation and multilateralism remains to be the most suitable choice for defending their pursuits within the face of a troublesome strategic atmosphere the place the sturdy do what they’ll and amid international challenges reminiscent of climate-induced disasters.