Highlights
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There are big variations within the charges of violence and property victimization per state.
That is an summary of violent and property victimization for the 3-year durations of 2017–19 and 2020–22 within the 22 largest U.S. states per the Bureau of Justice Statistics.
There’s a level the place Synthetic Intelligence might analyze information in actual time by location, and legislation enforcement companies might convey data to residents on a real-time foundation.
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A complete overview of crime for current years is obtainable at Violent and Property Crime Charges In The U.S.
Article
New information from the Bureau of Justice Statistics of the US Division of Justice compares the speed of violent and property victimization per 1,000 individuals age 12 or older within the 22 largest states for current years. It’s based mostly on the Nationwide Crime Victimization Survey. It represents 79 p.c of the U.S. inhabitants age 12 or older and 77% of the violent victimizations captured by the NCVS.
States Included
This report presents chosen state-level estimates of violent and property victimization for the 3-year mixture durations of 2017–19 and 2020–22 within the 22 largest U.S. states: Arizona, California, Colorado, Florida, Georgia, Illinois, Indiana, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan, Minnesota, Missouri, New Jersey, New York, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Texas, Virginia, Washington, and Wisconsin
Nationwide Crime Victimization Survey
The info under is from the Nationwide Crime Victimization Survey from the Bureau of Justice Statistics of the US Division of Justice. It’s vastly totally different from crimes reported to legislation enforcement compiled by the FBI.
The nice majority of crimes will not be reported to the police; thus, the US Division of Justice, the criminological group, and journalists over 50 years in the past insisted that there wanted to be a extra correct methodology to gauge crime in America.
In essence, the Nationwide Crime Victimization Survey relies on inquiries to a consultant pattern of residents of the US, very similar to Gallup or Pew, or every other respected survey service.
It’s a depend of “all” crime. not a depend of “reported” crime through the FBI or unbiased analysts.
“The Nationwide Crime Victimization Survey (NCVS) is the nation’s major supply of data on prison victimization,” in keeping with the US Census Bureau. It makes use of Census methodology. To my data, nobody disputes the US census and its information, but most policymakers and journalists ignore the NCVS.
President Trump, as a candidate, used NCVS information to substantiate his declare that violent crime elevated, which it did through a report improve for the final two official reporting durations. A brand new NCVS shall be supplied quickly.
Per the US Division of Justice, charges for violent crime rose roughly 44 p.c (per analyst Jeff Asher and The Marshall Mission) in 2022, and charges have been basically the identical in 2023 per the Nationwide Crime Victimization Survey. Notice: Chat GPT places the rise at 42 p.c.
It’s the most important improve in violent crime in our nation’s historical past, based mostly on my a long time of providing information on nationwide crime statistics.
Geo-Finding Crime-Crime And Places
The Bureau of Justice Statistics has experimented with crime charges and totals for cities, counties, and metropolitan areas for years. To my data, that is the primary state report. Ordinarily, the NCVS was supplied as a nationwide report solely. Some within the criminological group see benefits in matching NCVS information with places as a extra correct information to state and native crime. See an summary of earlier geo-location analysis on the backside of “Metropolis and State Crime Charges-Most Harmful Cities.”
The 22 Largest States and Violent Victimization
The Bureau of Justice Statistics report focuses on crime variations between 2017–19 and 2020–22, and it was printed in August of 2025.
The main focus of this text shall be on the charges of violent and property crime for the 2020-2022 interval for the cited states.
There are big variations within the charge of violent victimization per 1,000 individuals between states, starting from the very best (Colorado) to the bottom (New Jersey).
The highest ten most violent states per 1,000 folks age 12 or older through the measurement interval have been:
Colorado-42.6
Washington-38.1
Missouri-25.3
Indiana-24.3
Pennslyvania-23.5
Minneota-23.5
Tennessee-22.9
Arizona-20.0
Ohio-19.1
New York-18.4
The bottom states for violence included New Jersey (8.1) and North Carolina (9.1).
Chart
The 22 Largest States and Property Victimization
There are big variations within the charge of property victimization per 1,000 individuals age 12 or older between states, starting from the very best (Washington) to the bottom (North Carolina).
The highest ten highest states for property victimization through the measurement interval have been:
Washington-195.8
Colorado-163.4
California-136.2
Minnesota-119.6
Arizona-116.2
Texas-103.9
Missouri-100.6
Ohio-90.2
Indiana-89.7
New York-86.8
The bottom states for property crime have been: New Jersey-45.8, North Carolina-46.9, and Michigan-61.7
Chart
Reported Violent Crime
About 2 in 5 violent victimizations (42%) have been reported to police nationwide through the 2020–22 time interval, which was much like the proportion for the 2017–19 time interval. The share of violent victimizations reported to police declined in Indiana from 2017–19 (46%) to 2020–22 (31%) and didn’t change considerably within the different 21 states.
Throughout the 22 largest states, the proportion of violent victimizations reported to police ranged from 30% in Wisconsin to 53% in Ohio throughout 2020–22. The share of violent crimes reported to police was greater than the nationwide proportion in a single state, Ohio (53%), and decrease in three: Indiana (31%), Washington (31%), and Wisconsin (30%).
Reported Property Crime
Through the 2020–22 mixture time interval, 32% of property victimizations in the US have been reported to police, which was much like the proportion throughout 2017–19. The share of property crimes reported to police declined in three states between 2017–19 and 2020–22: Arizona (32% to 24%), Florida (39% to twenty-eight%), and Pennsylvania (31% to 24%).
The share of property victimizations reported to police throughout the 22 largest states ranged from 24% in Arizona to 42% in North Carolina throughout 2020–22. The share of property crimes reported to police exceeded the nationwide proportion in three states: Missouri (39%), North Carolina (42%), and Tennessee (37%) and was lower than the nationwide proportion in 5 states: Arizona (24%), Maryland (25%), Massachusetts (26%), New York (25%), and Pennsylvania (24%).
Solely 38 P.c of City Crimes Are Reported To Legislation Enforcement
The 38% determine comes from a BJS report titled “Reporting to Police by Sort of Crime and Location of Residence, 2020–2023″. The report breaks down reporting charges by space kind:
Conclusions
All we now have proper now’s “reported” crime information from the FBI hooked up to cities and states. The draw back of the present system is that it’s depending on a really small proportion of total reported crime.
What would occur if Nationwide Crime Victimization Survey numbers have been segmented or geo-located to cities, metro areas, and states? We’d have a much more strong system to research crime and, usually talking, as a substitute of 30 p.c of property crimes or 40 p.c of violent crimes, we might seize all crimes by location (whereas noting that it nonetheless misses crimes in opposition to companies, homicides, or incidents exterior the family inhabitants).
What might we be taught from this evaluation? Usually talking, the bigger the universe, the extra correct the outcomes. If crime skyrocketed in Washington, D.C., however went down in close by Baltimore, what variables clarify this? What’s taking place in D.C. that’s not occurring in Baltimore?
If we phase the information by location and correlate the numbers by race, ethnic background, revenue, housing kind, employment, schooling, age, or every other variable per metropolis or state, what would the information inform us? What have been the victims of crime doing on the time? What actions did they take? Had been these actions profitable? What data might we convey to the general public based mostly on town or metro space wherein they stay?
There’s a level the place Synthetic Intelligence might analyze information in close to actual time at city places (which might require bigger samples and faster entry), and legislation enforcement companies might convey data to residents.
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