Black Weapons Matter founder Maj Toure famous that over 90 p.c of mass shootings occur in “gun-free zones,” a determine that was revealed by John Lott of the Crime Prevention Analysis Middle. . . .
Jeff Charles, “Right here They Go Once more: Anti-Gunners Rush to Exploit Wisconsin Faculty Taking pictures to Push Gun Management, ” Townhall, December 14, 2024.
Luckily, Dr. John R. Lott of the Crime Prevention Analysis Middle does science the old style means: he does it actually with factual, reproducible analysis. He additionally makes his methodology and information units out there, uncommon practices in lately of “belief the science” with out proof to encourage that belief.
Originally of this yr, the media was operating headlines like Nationwide Public Radio’s: “Violent crime is dropping quick within the U.S. – even when Individuals don’t consider it.” “In some unspecified time in the future in 2022 … there was only a tipping level the place violence began to fall and it simply continued to fall,” NPR claimed. However now the FBI has itself admitted its violent crime numbers had been means off.
How far off? NBC isn’t even within the ballpark:
Whereas the FBI claims that severe violent crime has fallen by 5.8% since Biden took workplace, the NCVS numbers present that whole violent crime has risen by 55.4%. Rapes are up by 42%, theft by 63%, and aggravated assault by 55% throughout Biden’s time period. Because the NCVS began, the biggest earlier enhance over three years was 27% in 2006, so the rise below Biden was barely greater than twice as giant.
The will increase proven by the NCVS through the Biden-Harris administration are by far the biggest proportion will increase over any three years, barely greater than doubling the earlier report.
Mike McDanile, “NBC and crime: who you gonna consider, them or Trump?,” American Thinker, December 15, 2024.
However Individuals, as famous, aren’t anti-immigration. They only don’t like unlawful immigration, as polls plainly present, and so they particularly don’t like criminals coming right here and costing the economic system a whole bunch of billions of {dollars} whereas committing violent crimes and disrupting communities.
And no, these aren’t made-up quantities. The Crime Prevention Analysis Middle just lately estimated that crime from the “prime targets” of ICE Enforcement and Elimination Operations totaled $166.5 billion.
“Murders account for nearly $153.8 billion of the $166.5 billion in estimated felony victimization prices. One other $6 billion includes sexual assaults/offenses, and an extra $5.2 billion comes from sexual assaults and sexual offenses,” wrote John Lott, Jr., president of the CPRC. . . .
Terry Jones, “U.S. Ought to Deport Criminals Who Are Right here Illegally, Extra Than 2/3 Of Voters Say: I&I/TIPP Ballot,” Points & Insights, December 12, 2024.
The Crime Prevention Analysis Middle just lately estimated that crime from the “prime targets” of ICE Enforcement and Elimination Operations totaled $166.5 billion.
“Murders account for nearly $153.8 billion of the $166.5 billion in estimated felony victimization prices. One other $6 billion includes sexual assaults/offenses, and an extra $5.2 billion comes from sexual assaults and sexual offenses,” wrote John Lott, Jr., president of the CPRC. . . .
Terry Jones, “U.S. Ought to Deport Criminals Who Are Right here Illegally, Extra Than 2/3 Of Voters Say: I&I/TIPP Ballot,” Points & Insights, , December 9, 2024.
There may be nothing protected about disarming the law-abiding whereas leaving criminals emboldened. A gun-free zone is a goal—an irresistible siren name to those that need to kill as many as potential, as rapidly as potential. Practically 94% of mass public shootings since 1950 have occurred in gun-free zones, in accordance with analysis from the Crime Prevention Analysis Middle (CPRC), which analyzed information on mass shootings within the U.S. over the past a number of a long time. Why? As a result of murderers are cowards, not crusaders. They search defenseless victims, not resistance. . . .
Workers, “Madison’s Tragedy: How Insurance policies Failed Our Colleges Once more,” American Liberty Information, December 17, 2024.
One of many outstanding benefits of hid carry is its deterrent impact. When potential criminals discover a enterprise proprietor carrying a hid firearm, they’re more likely to rethink their actions. This threat evaluation usually discourages focused felony habits.
For instance, a research by the Crime Prevention Analysis Middle revealed that states with greater charges of hid carry permits are likely to expertise decrease charges of violent crime. A enterprise proprietor demonstrating a proactive protection method contributes positively not solely to their institution but additionally to the group’s security.
Moreover, staff are more likely to really feel a heightened sense of safety understanding that their employer is supplied to face threats. This sense can enhance morale, leading to better job satisfaction and better customer support. . . .
Ahadi Ture, “Why Enterprise House owners in DC & MD Ought to Think about Hid Carry for Self-Protection,” Armed Skilled, Oct 19, 2024
In October, Dr. John Lott of the Crime Prevention Analysis Middle (CPRC) broke the information that the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) had stealth-revised its reported violent crime information for 2022 to point out a 4.5% enhance, fairly than the initially reported 2.1% lower, for that yr.
Amongst different issues, that adjustment added 1,699 extra murders for 2022. Provided that the overwhelming majority of homicide crimes are reported, Lott asks, “How do you miss 1,699 murders?” . . .
In one other occasion of lower than optimum transparency, an op-ed by Dr. John Lott earlier this fall mentioned how the FBI missed or misidentified many circumstances of defensive gun use and refused to right its information even after “the blatant omissions” had been identified. “The FBI dataset is lacking so many defensive gun makes use of that it’s onerous to consider it isn’t intentional and the truth that they by no means right errors which can be dropped at their consideration is much more damning.” . . .
ALN Gun Information Desk, “FBI’s Lacking Numbers,” American Liberty Information, December 12. 2024.
The Crime Prevention Analysis Middle (CPRC) has launched the most recent in its sequence of annual studies on developments in hid carry permits in America.
The report, Hid Carry Allow Holders Throughout america: 2024 (Nov. 29, 2024), by Dr. John Lott, Jr,. Carlisle E. Moody, and Rujun Wang, appeared on the developments accompanying the exponential progress in carry permits. Though the allow quantity peaked in 2022, the drop within the variety of hid carry permits in 2024 in comparison with 2023 was comparatively small (lower than 2%), with not less than 21.46 million grownup permit-holders at the moment in america.
This minor drop was attributed to the current, sharp rise within the variety of states – at the moment 29 – that permit constitutional carry, pursuant to which certified adults could carry with out a allow (and with out the charges and authorities paperwork {that a} allow requires). There have been solely 13 constitutional carry states seven years in the past, however due to the NRA and sustained weapons rights advocacy (right here and right here, for instance), the expansion in constitutional carry since then has been nothing in need of outstanding. Florida tipped america right into a majority constitutional carry nation in 2023 when it turned the twenty-sixth state to move a constitutional carry legislation, adopted by Nebraska (2023), and Louisiana and South Carolina this yr. “[W]hile permits are growing within the non-Constitutional Carry states, they fell within the Constitutional Carry ones although extra persons are clearly carrying in these states,” the report famous. . . .
Workers, “Hid Carry Allow, Gun Sale Numbers Keep Robust in 2024,” Ammoland, December 18, 2024.
Dr. John Lott has been bringing the U.S. his statistical evaluation on all issues crime and firearm associated through the Crime Prevention Analysis Middle since 2013. Lott’s work on crime and the like dates again to a 1997 co-written article, “Crime, Deterrence and Proper-To-Carry Hid Handguns.” The CPRC has been producing annual studies on the variety of hid handgun permits since 2014. The newest, “Hid Carry Allow Holders Throughout america: 2024,” was launched round December 2nd.
The authors of the report are as follows: John R. Lott, Jr., president of the CPRC, Carlisle E. Moody, analysis director and emeritus professor of economics from School of William & Mary, and Rujun Wang, a analysis affiliate.
From the summary: . . .
John Petrolino, “Crime Prevention Analysis Middle Releases 2024 CCW Report,” Bearing Arms, December 16, 2024
The report, Hid Carry Allow Holders Throughout america: 2024 (Nov. 29, 2024), by Dr. John Lott, Jr,. Carlisle E. Moody, and Rujun Wang, appeared on the developments accompanying the exponential progress in carry permits. Though the allow quantity peaked in 2022, the drop within the variety of hid carry permits in 2024 in comparison with 2023 was comparatively small (lower than 2%), with not less than 21.46 million grownup permit-holders at the moment in america. . . .
One other very optimistic metric within the CPRC report is that now near half of all Individuals stay in a constitutional carry jurisdiction: “46.8% of Individuals (157.6 million) now stay in Constitutional Carry States, with 67.7% of the land within the nation (2.57 million sq. miles).”
Permits, although, stay common. Total, 8.2% of American adults have permits; outdoors of the restrictive states of California and New York, that rises to about 9.8% of adults. Indiana has the best focus of hid carry permittees, at 23.1% of the inhabitants, adopted by Alabama (20.5%) and Colorado (17.7%). Greater than 10% of adults have a carry allow in every of 16 states. By way of uncooked numbers, Florida is the highest state with 2.46 million in-state allow holders.
One other noteworthy development is that in jurisdictions that report gender and/or race of allow holders, the share of allow holders who’re ladies or minorities (or each) has elevated considerably. Within the seven states with information by gender out there for each 2012 and 2023/2024, the variety of permits elevated by 255% for ladies in comparison with 120% for males. Within the 4 states with data concerning race for 2015 and 2021/2023/2024, “the variety of permits grew 283.9% quicker for blacks than for whites. Permits for Asians grew 219.2% quicker than whites.” In an additional illustration of the influence of constitutional carry legal guidelines, the report identified that in Texas, “there was a noticeable drop within the p.c of permits issued [to] ladies and blacks after Constitutional Carry was adopted. It seems that each teams had been comparatively delicate to the price of permits.” In distinction, the non-constitutional carry states of “Hawaii, Maryland, and New Jersey have dramatically elevated the allow charges,” and California has doubled the period of time of the obligatory coaching to qualify for a allow, to not less than 16 hours. “These guidelines,” in accordance with the report, “would ultimately forestall poor minorities, the very individuals who profit probably the most from proudly owning weapons, from having them.” . . .
Workers, “Hid Carry Allow, Gun Sale Numbers Keep Robust in 2024,” NRA-ILA, December 16, 2024.
