CPRC in the News: Breitbart, Townhall, Real Clear Politics, Bearing Arms, Athlon Outdoors, and more

Within the op-ed, revealed by the New York Put up, Lott defined that there are two methods of inspecting occurrences of violent crime: One is the measure of these crimes reported to police and the opposite is the measure of these crimes which weren’t reported. . . .

AWR Hawkins, “John Lott: Don’t Imagine the Hype — Violent Crime Surged Beneath Biden,” Breitbart, August 16, 2024.

Crime Prevention Analysis Heart President John Lott defined that there are “two measures that the Division of Justice places out on crime.” For instance, in 2021, the FBI reported solely 387 crimes dedicated per 100,000 folks. The next 12 months, the company solely reported 380.7 violent crimes per 100,000 folks. Nonetheless, knowledge contradicts this quantity. 

Nationwide Crime Victimization knowledge discovered that violent crime elevated by 42 p.c in 2022. . . . [much more on Dr. Lott’s work discussed there]

Sarah Arnold, “Democrats Are Mistaken, Violent Crime Is Not Declining,” Townhall, September 8, 2024.

What’s extra, the federal authorities has numbers that again up the declare that good guys with weapons save lives. Nonetheless, as John Lott notes over at The Federalist, the feds are hiding them from us. . . .

Now, 35 p.c isn’t an enormous quantity, however we have to do not forget that quite a lot of energetic shootings are taking place in locations the place there are points with law-abiding residents being armed. . . .

And that is fascinating as a result of Lott wrote this effectively earlier than the occasions in Winder. . . .

Tom Knighton, “CDC, FBI Hiding Knowledge Displaying Good Guys With Weapons Save Lives,” Bearing Arms, September 5, 2024.

Legislation Enforcement Collapse Masks Rising Crime Charges. John Lott exposes the mistaken perceptions created when Democrats and the media depend on reported slightly than precise crimes.

Carl M. Cannon, “Kamala’s First Interview; Rising Crime Charges; Quote of the Week,” Actual Clear Politics, August 30, 2024.

Case 9 is basically an outline of faculties nationwide which have armed and skilled their colleges. None of these have but had a mass homicide, both. Professor John Lott, a grasp researcher within the area of armed self-defense, stated as a lot in an article he co-authored for the Washington Instances with Rep. Thomas Massie. . . .

Massad Ayoob, “Self-Protection and the Legislation: Armed Faculty Lecturers Thwart Mass Murders,” Athlon Outdoor, September 3, 2024.

In a current evaluation revealed within the New York Put up, Professor John Lott, president of the acclaimed Crime Prevention Analysis Heart, sharply critiques the best way the Democratic Get together and its allies within the media manipulate crime statistics to color a deceptive image of security below their management. 

Lott factors out that regardless of claims by outstanding Democrats like Minnesota Governor Tim Walz and Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg that crime went up below President Trump and fell below President Biden, the info tells a distinct story. Opposite to their assertions, violent crime truly fell by 17% throughout President Trump’s time period, however soared by 43% below President Biden between 2020 and 2022. This stark actuality is one thing that many media retailers and Democratic politicians appear eager to obscure. In reality, they outright lie about it it might seem.

The crux of Lott’s argument lies within the discrepancy between the 2 main crime knowledge sources within the U.S.: the FBI’s Nationwide Incident-Based mostly Reporting System (NIBRS) and the Bureau of Justice Statistics’ Nationwide Crime Victimization Survey (NCVS). The FBI knowledge, which depends on crimes reported to police, exhibits a decline in violent crime since 2020. Nonetheless, the NCVS, which surveys people immediately about their experiences with crime, exhibits a dramatic enhance in violent crime, with a staggering 42.4% rise in 2022 alone.

Lott highlights that this divergence is not only a statistical anomaly however displays a deeper concern: the collapse of efficient legislation enforcement throughout many American cities. For example, arrest charges for reported violent crimes have plummeted, with cities like New York seeing a drop from 44% pre-pandemic to simply 20% in 2022. Because of this fewer criminals are being held accountable, not being arrested and charged within the first place, so it seems to be like crime is definitely taking place. This results in a vicious cycle the place victims more and more imagine there is no such thing as a level in reporting crimes.

This breakdown in legislation enforcement is additional exacerbated by the numerous discount in police staffing as a consequence of price range cuts, retirements and rampant demoralization of rank and file cops in departments throughout the nation following the “defund the police” motion, which many Democratic politicians, together with Harris and Walz, supported. In some areas, police now not reply to non-emergency calls, leaving victims to fend for themselves. Consequently, the FBI’s crime knowledge, which depends on police experiences, is changing into much less dependable. There has additionally been a drop in police departments even reporting knowledge to the FBI, which additionally accounts for much less crime being counted. In the meantime, the NCVS knowledge paints a way more alarming image of the true state of crime within the U.S.

Lott’s evaluation warns that counting on the FBI’s knowledge, as many Democratic officers do, conveniently downplays the severity of the crime drawback. This selective use of knowledge is a tactic to soft-pedal the truth of rising crime, permitting the Democratic Get together to keep away from accountability for the implications of their insurance policies. Even worse, it permits them to pedal progressive insurance policies to an unwitting public; polices that truly make our communities much less secure, comparable to releasing criminals and a few illegals again on the streets.

Lott’s findings underscore the significance of scrutinizing the info and narratives pushed by those that search to impose extra restrictive gun legal guidelines, restrict the effectiveness of our police departments and switch criminals free on the streets to commit extra crimes. The disconnect between reported crime and precise victimization serves as a reminder that defending one’s proper to self-defense is extra vital than ever, particularly in an setting the place the federal government’s capability to make sure public security is more and more in query.

For the entire editorial by Lott, go to the New York Put up.

TTAG Contributor, “Democrats Are Deceptive the Public When It Involves Crime Stats,” The Fact About Weapons, August 22, 2024

. . . We’ve talked aplenty about Walz and his wrongheaded concepts, however John Lott determined to do a bit extra over at The Federalist. He completely dismantles Walz and his claims on weapons.

Let’s begin together with his claims relating to the CDC being prohibited from doing analysis. . . .

Lott factors out that the CDC did loads of gun analysis throughout that point.

Now, was it a lie or was Walz merely flawed? In spite of everything, I think about it a lie when somebody is aware of it’s false however pushes it anyway, whereas somebody who believes what they’re saying is merely flawed. Walz noticed the identical media experiences all of us did, however his politics might effectively have led him to take the claims at face worth. It’s solely potential he was simply incorrect.

However contemplating a few of his different nonsense, I’m not inclined to offer him the advantage of the doubt.

Let’s do not forget that hid carry permits, even in essentially the most permissible states within the nation, contain a felony background test that insures the person isn’t a prohibited individual. Anybody with a allow is somebody who has by no means been convicted of any critical crime and even some misdemeanors. They’re usually as near a mannequin citizen as you’re going to search out, which is born out by the analysis Lott cites.

Walz simply doesn’t like the truth that we will carry weapons.

There’s extra that Lott destroys, however I can’t actually get into it due to honest use guidelines. I invite you to go and skim the remainder, particularly the stupidity about common background checks.

Tom Knighton, “John Lott Dismantle’s Walz’s Anti-Gun Claims,” Bearing Arms, August 14, 2024

Gun-related statistics generated by federal companies have turn into suspect. In some circumstances, easy searches of media experiences for sure sorts of crime exhibits, for instance, that the FBI’s official knowledge has holes in it. In some circumstances, it seems to be closely biased; for instance, the variety of “energetic shooters” stopped by armed residents seems to be a lot increased than the FBI knowledge lets on. If the FBI would take so-called “gun-free zones” from the equation, they’d must report that, when good residents can go armed, they usually do cease murderers.

For solutions as to what’s taking place inside these companies, we requested John Lott, the famous crime researcher and the founder and president of the Crime Prevention Analysis Heart.

As you’ll see on this video, his solutions—from when he labored with the Division of Justice for the Trump administration to his analysis together with his nonprofit—are astounding.

And that is vital, because the mainstream media likes to make use of federal statistics as hooks for his or her one-sided gun-control narratives; consequently, this spin impacts public opinion, which might affect coverage.

On this video interview, Lott talks about his time working as a senior adviser for analysis and statistics on the Workplace of Justice Packages—a Division of Justice division that doles out about $5 billion in grants annually—and about his analysis into crime and gun possession. Lott has so much to say in regards to the statistics these companies publish.

Frank Miniter, “The Irritating Drawback With Federal Gun Statistics,” America’s First Freedom, August 16, 2024

To assist his claims, Trump cited John Lott, president of the CPRC and creator of Extra Weapons, Much less Crime. Lott defined in an interview on NewsMax2 that there are two major measures of crime: the FBI’s knowledge on reported crimes and the Bureau of Justice Statistics’ Nationwide Crime Victimization knowledge, which incorporates each reported and unreported crimes. . . .

Workers, “Trump Makes use of Lott’s Crime Knowledge to Slam Biden-Harris Administration,” GunsAmerica, August 25, 2024.

In a press convention this previous Tuesday, President Trump learn from two of the Crime Prevention Heart Analysis Heart’s latest analysis experiences. One report exhibits how violent crime fell by 17 p.c throughout the Trump administration after which soared by 43 p.c below Biden. The second report exhibits how legislation enforcement within the U.S. has collapsed. We present how the drop in arrest charges over the previous couple of years from 2020 to 2022 is with out precedent, and that’s notably true for the biggest cities. . . .

F Riehl, “President Trump Feedback on the Collapse in U.S. Legislation Enforcement,” Ammoland, August 30, 2024.

Statistics present that criminals goal “gun-free” zones, notably after they anticipate a lot of disarmed folks in attendance. In reality, in keeping with the Crime Prevention Analysis Heart, a staggering 94% of U.S. mass-murder makes an attempt have taken place in “gun-free” zones since 1950. (Even for those who settle for a a lot decrease quantity claimed by gun-control activists, it ought to be apparent that you simply don’t wish to brazenly assert that your location is a “comfortable goal” since nobody will have the ability to defend themselves or others.) . . .

Workers, “NRA Group Defend And Faculty Defend,” America’s 1st Freedom, September 4, 2024.